Ethereum enters 2026 positioned as the institutional blockchain of choice with five converging catalysts: the Glamsterdam upgrade targeting 10,000 TPS, $28.6 billion in ETF assets offering staking yields, $180 billion in tokenized real-world assets commanding 52% market share, a $47 billion Layer 2 ecosystem, and the CLARITY Act cementing regulatory legitimacy for traditional finance integration.
The weekly chart reveals ETH consolidating between $2,600-$3,400 through Q4 2025. Price trades below the $4,407 Supertrend with EMAs clustered at $3,366/$3,255/$3,007/$2,607—tight compression typically preceding explosive moves.
Bulls need volume above $3,600 to flip structure. Break above $4,400 Supertrend opens $5,000-$6,000 targets. Support at $2,600-$2,900 has held multiple tests—breakdown targets $2,400.
Glamsterdam activation, gas limit increases begin, CLARITY Act passage, ETF expansion. Reclaim $3,600-$4,000 toward $4,400 Supertrend break.
200M gas limit enables 10,000 TPS, staking ETF growth, corporate allocations, RWA headlines. Test $5,000-$6,000 psychological levels.
Hegota deployment, Verkle Trees, $500B stablecoin market, $300-500B DeFi TVL, sovereign wealth allocations. Target $7,000-$7,500.
128-bit security, full Hegota implementation, $200B+ tokenized RWAs, banking integration. Maximum upside $8,000-$9,000.
Technicals favor waiting for $3,600-$4,000 breakout confirmation. Long-term allocators face asymmetric setup at $2,970—39% below 2021 highs with infrastructure maturity that didn’t exist previously.
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