Protect Progress spent $5 million supporting Christian Menefee and $2.8 million opposing Al Green in Tuesday’s Texas 18th District runoff.The Kalshi prediction market puts Menefee’s odds at 91% and Paxton’s at 96% in the parallel Texas Senate runoff, where total betting volume exceeded $16 million.Green voted against the GENIUS Act and the Clarity Act and holds an F grade from Stand With Crypto, making his seat a direct target for Fairshake’s $193 million 2026 war chest.